Nope. I do see Trump actually bringing new voters into the fold, but he's going to lose a lot of other moderate Republican voters as well. In addition, he's igniting a fire under the Hispanic electorate. Republicans cannot afford to have Hispanic turnout rates skyrocket, and that is exactly what Trump is helping create. Every group of people has a trigger that gets them voting, and Trump may well be it for them. So in the end, he will probably have a rather large net loss.
At the very least, can we please stop assuming he won't alienate other voters? Everyone seems to assume that this blathering moron is the Jesus of politics and can't possibly drive people away from the GOP. A lot of people still prefer to see the White House as an institution of respect and not a playground for a reality TV star.
Good analysis.
Agree.