bedstuy
YaBB God
Posts: 4,526
Political Matrix
E: -1.16, S: -4.35
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« on: May 12, 2015, 01:48:04 PM » |
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Sure, if you win the popular vote by 3.9%, you're going to easily get 270 electoral votes. That seems obvious.
But, is a Republican likely to win by 3.9% in 2016? I don't think so. The argument that Democrats have an advantage in 2016 is more that Republicans can't win by expanding the map and turning out voters. The Obama strategy doesn't work for Republicans. None of their candidates are exceptional or appeal outside the Republican base.
The clear strategy for Republicans is a very negative campaign that drives down turnout among everyone and a laser focus on winning the close Obama states (FL, VA, OH, IA or CO).
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