Nate Silver: 2016 is a tossup; most conventional wisdom analysis is flimsy (user search)
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  Nate Silver: 2016 is a tossup; most conventional wisdom analysis is flimsy (search mode)
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Author Topic: Nate Silver: 2016 is a tossup; most conventional wisdom analysis is flimsy  (Read 8049 times)
bedstuy
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« on: April 12, 2015, 11:53:57 AM »

There's no such thing as PV/EC advantages, guys. Take the 2000 election out of the equation and history just says, if you win the PV, you win the EC by a huge margin.

2000 is what we call an outlier. And it's just barely an outlier.  500 votes to Gore in FL, he wins the EC by a margin greater than his PV win.

Yeah.  The whole talk about specific states is pretty much just hot air too.  Both sides have money to the point of diminishing returns, they know the swing states and they can campaign in all of them. 
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