UK General Discussion Thread: mayy lmao

[Lurker]

I was surprised to see that the people on the anti-EU blog "Eureferendum" (run and dominated by people solidly to the right, for those who haven't heard of it) regard Farage as a total embarrasment and bufoon. Apparently, he's seen as a massive liability for their cause, and they fear that his presence will destroy their chances in the referendum.

Have their been any rumours on a specific date for the EU referendum, btw?

[Lurker]

The inquiry into the polling cock-up was, unsurprisingly, a complete waste of time. Also worth noting that the polls were more wrong in 1992 and yet I'm pretty sure there wasn't such a massive inquiry then.

What were the findings/excuses in inquiry?

As for other great failures of the British polling industry, there's 1970 as well (interesting that they in these cases always seem to underestimate the Tory share of the vote vis-a-vis Labour).

[Lurker]

The inquiry into the polling cock-up was, unsurprisingly, a complete waste of time. Also worth noting that the polls were more wrong in 1992 and yet I'm pretty sure there wasn't such a massive inquiry then.

What were the findings/excuses in inquiry?

As for other great failures of the British polling industry, there's 1970 as well (interesting that they in these cases always seem to underestimate the Tory share of the vote vis-a-vis Labour).

"We polled too much Labour voters and not enough Conservative voters", in short.

lol, the British polling industry is such a joke. In 2020, we might as well use the astrology pages to predict the result.

[Lurker]

8 elections is a very small reference pool to make any kind of rules out of. With a subset that small, you can always find numerous "patterns" that ultimately prove meaningless. I would link to the XKCD comic about US presidential elections, but as everyone here has probably seen it a million times...

(That's not a comment on this idea in itself though, obviously)