This thread demonstrates why Atlas is so horrendous in the leadup to an election.
Suffolk shows this as a 6 point lead for Gardner, Quinnipaic shows it as 7, Rasmussen shows it at 6, yet we are to believe only this one. It's unscientific to think that way.
It's not necessarily scientific to just purely average the public polls, particularly in a midterm election where the polling tends to be less reliable. I'm not going to argue that Udall is favored, but this race should be seen as a complete tossup.
No, it should not be seen as a tossup. Looking at the last ten polls, Gardner has lead in nine of them. Yes, there have been far bigger upsets than Udall winning here, but he is very clearly the underdog.