If both Brown AND Cordray win this year, Ohio reverts back to Pure Tossup status in 2020. Ditto that if the Dems can pick up seats like OH-1 and OH-14.
Did Portman landsliding and Kasich winning in 2010 make Ohio lean/likely R in 2012? Did Kirk winning and Quinn almost losing in 2010 make Illinois a toss up in 2012?
You can't really extrapolate a midterm wave election to a presidential election.
Sure you can...remember when Romney won PA and IL in 2012?
I remember when the conspiracy theorists said they would and the polls were "skewed"
Anyway, Lean R.