How long before Ben Toma is in Trump's crosshairs? I've said many times Trump isn't gonna cede a critical battleground state, and if he sees these as an electoral obstacle, he will fight tooth and nail to get rid of it. And god be damned to anyone that gets in his way.
I don't think you are grasping how anti-abortion people think about this issue. Ben Toma literally thinks the Holocaust just ended and it's up to him not to restart it. He won't care if Trump insults him for it.
If Arizonans want legal abortion, they will have to vote in Democratic governors, legislators, and judges forever. There's no more Roe safety net. Any time Republicans take power in most states, abortion is going to become illegal, because to them it's literally a life and death issue and they don't care about the long term electoral consequences.
I think Dems are going to start becoming anti-referendum in swing states. A referendum can only give them a boost once, holding the issue hostage lets you run on it for decades.That's projection once again. The Democratic Party is more unified than ever since
Roe was overturned. It's the Republican Party that is running from its policies.
This is the first real opportunity for ballot initiatives since
Dobbs. Michigan was the only state where a voter-initiated amendment made the ballot in time in 2022. California and Vermont approved amendments referred by the state legislatures. Ohio approved a voter-initiated amendment in 2023, the earliest it could be approved (and among the states that allow for statewide ballot measures in odd years). There were those that argued for postponing the Ohio initiative until 2024. That's crass and without consideration of the people of the state or those that need to go a state like Ohio for reproductive services (and Ohio does seem to be an important location for those in several other states seeking to exercise their right to bodily autonomy).