Prediction bragging time: I will now accept my accolades (user search)
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
June 02, 2024, 11:33:30 PM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  Forum Community
  Forum Community (Moderators: The Dowager Mod, YE, KoopaDaQuick 🇵🇸)
  Prediction bragging time: I will now accept my accolades (search mode)
Pages: [1]
Author Topic: Prediction bragging time: I will now accept my accolades  (Read 613 times)
politicallefty
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,314
Ukraine


Political Matrix
E: -3.87, S: -9.22

P P
« on: November 28, 2022, 05:32:54 AM »

I think I did better in overall score (including percentages).  Tongue  (But yes, you definitely earned some bragging rights.)

Senate:



Governor:




Senate: If Warnock wins, I'll have nailed every Senate race. My misses on percentages will be HI, ND, NY, and KS. Kansas is frustratingly close to the line. I wasn't aware of the strong independent in ND. I underestimated Schatz. New York was just a disappointment all around.

Governors: I only missed Arizona, but I'm glad I did. Otherwise, my misses on percentages were CA, SD, KS, WI, OH, and VT. Newsom's failure to get above 60% really irritates me. I also didn't think Noem was popular enough to get above 60%. For Kansas, I was expecting Kelly to get just above 50%. The others are all fairly obvious.


If Warnock wins, this will be my best prediction for called races since 2012 (I got everything except ND-Sen). I had a very good overall percentage from 2008-2012. I didn't see the 2014 wave happening and, like many others, seriously underestimated the Trump effect in both 2016 and 2020.
Logged
Pages: [1]  
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.015 seconds with 10 queries.