Hillary will win Florida by 5%.
It will be within 6% in Texas
I was going to go one step further and say that Texas will have a closer margin than Florida.
I don't like to go out on a limb anymore. I did that in my 2008 prediction when I put North Dakota in the D column. It makes my otherwise fairly good prediction look visually worse. Listed by score though, only two people had a higher score than I did. The only other state I called wrong was Missouri. Otherwise, I'm proud of my 2008 prediction (and even more proud of my even better 2012 prediction, getting every state right).