politicallefty
Junior Chimp
Posts: 8,329
Political Matrix
E: -3.87, S: -9.22
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« on: December 14, 2014, 03:41:50 PM » |
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Dallas County does appear to be quite firmly Democratic now. The county to really watch in Texas is Tarrant, I think. For most elections, it has appeared to be a bellwether for the state. If and when Texas starts trending Democratic, I think Tarrant County will be the metaphorical canary in the coal mine. It would probably lean more and more Democratic relative to the state as a whole. I think Tarrant County will fall some time before the entire state does.
Any Democratic victory in Texas will require big margins in the cities (alongside reliably Democratic South Texas). The current paradigm will require Democrats to get upwards of 65% in Dallas County to win statewide, double-digit wins in Harris and Bexar, and an outright win in Tarrant (not to mention particularly cutting down Republican margins in suburban DFW and Austin).
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