Which of the 50 states are likely to secede from the US?

[DemPGH]

I don't think any are likely to secede at all, it's mostly blowing off steam, but as I understand it there really is a push amongst groups in Texas. Rick Perry has had to address it because evidently there are enough petitions to start the process if the state of TX were to wish to secede. They don't. But there are a lot of people who want to.

But this brings up something I've been wondering. What are states actually seeking in secession? Do they want to become like a dukedom where they are affiliated with but largely independent from the mainland? Kind of like how Normandy used to be in regard to France. Or do they want to just go off and form their own - gasp - country. If that's the case, that could be very scary. I could easily see some of those states left to their own becoming the Christian version of one of the Islamic countries, for e.g., maybe not as bad as Saudi Arabia or Iran, but nonetheless oppressive.