VA-PPP: Clinton +3 with and without 3rd parties (user search)
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  VA-PPP: Clinton +3 with and without 3rd parties (search mode)
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Author Topic: VA-PPP: Clinton +3 with and without 3rd parties  (Read 3902 times)
Seriously?
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Posts: 3,029
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« on: June 16, 2016, 11:33:06 AM »
« edited: June 16, 2016, 11:35:48 AM by Seriously? »

Wow... wtf?! Looks like Trump's weaknesses in VA are exaggerated (especially on this forum, lol).
PPP is oddly showing some of the most pro-Trump results out there. If they did a national poll it'd probably be only +2 Clinton. D+3 in VA is consistent with D+1 in PA, R+1 in FL, and D+3 in IA.
That's because the state of the race is probably roughly Clinton +3-5 at this point in time. I do not think any of these results, PA, IA, VA, FL, etc. are out of whack of where the race realistically is.

All of those states (with the exception of PA) are traditional swing states, with PA being a Tier 1 D state.

Take the Obama 2012 map and basically extrapolate a point or two pro-R shift, you'd get many of these results within the standard MOE. Plus, all of this polling is premature at this point with five months left and both bases not completely consolidated ahead of the conventions. The data is best used for trends right now than anything really substantive.
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