Washington Primary results thread (both parties; “polls close” at 11pm ET)

[Seriously?]

I like the caucus system. You know that the people are informed instead of just sheeple. One of the major flaws of the caucus is relative lack of accessibility. I propose that people should be able to tele-caucus on iPads or something. That'd kill two birds with one stone, nearly eliminating the need for absentee and early ballots.

I predict a Bernie 55-41 win, although I don't care much altogether.
Trump over 70.

Even at 70%, Trump won't get all the delegates.

The state allocates 30 of 44 by CD. 10x3 Trump will have to beat 50% in each CD to get all the delegates. If he falls under 50% in some urban district, he will take all 3 unless another candidate clears 20%.

Statewide 14 delegates are allocated proportionally. If you get 20%, you get a delegate. However, if Trump is at 70% and Cruz and Kaisich take 15% each, while they do not get delegates, the other 30% of the delegates will go to the convention unaffiliated.

The rough breakdown is as follows:
Trump roughly between 61% and 68%; Trump 9, unallocated 5
Trump roughly between 68% and 75%; Trump 10, unallocated 4.
Trump roughly between 75% and 82%; Trump 11, unallocated 3.

+/- roughly 7.1% either way to get to 7, 8, 12, 13, etc.

Unless there's something Operation Chaos-ey going on with the Dems crossing over in a meaningless primary for them, you're looking at a Trump delegate range from 39-41 in most likelihood, most probable 39 or 40.

[Seriously?]

Kasich goes into 2nd with 53% in. Parts of Seattle and Spokane are now reporting.

At 76% Trump would get roughly 41 of the 44 delegates with 3 uncommitted.
If he falls under about 75%, it would be 40, with 4 uncommitted.

[Seriously?]

Is it only the Republican party having a primary or both including the Democrats?

Both have primaries. The Democrat vote doesn't matter. They had a caucus already to apportion delegates. The Republican side matters.

[Seriously?]

Another 3 delegates for TRUMP from district 8. He's at 18 now.

It'll likely be Trump 41, Unpledged 3 at the end of this. He'll sweep the 30 CDs and take 11 of 14 of the proportional at 76%. If he falls below 75%, at some point it will be 10 of 14. Looking less likely though.

[Seriously?]

Also why did she do better in Washington's primary than Oregon's?

Because it was meaningless. It mattered, the Sanders campaign would have sunk resources into the primary to get out the youth vote.

[Seriously?]

Final results for today (their will be more updates at various times in the coming days)

Republican
Donald J. Trump 76.22%
Ted Cruz 10.12%
John R. Kasich 9.85%
Ben Carson 3.81%

Democrat
Hillary Clinton 53.63%
Bernie Sanders 46.37%

Voter turnout so far is 28.37%, with an estimated 96,200 ballots on hand that need to be counted.
Here is a schedule per county when the next updates will take place http://results.vote.wa.gov/results/current/Turnout.html

I forgot how cumbersome Washington State can be in a close election with how they deal with all these mail-in ballots. With that said, the margins shouldn't change that much with ~100K additional ballots to be counted split between both parties.

[Seriously?]

Final results for today (their will be more updates at various times in the coming days)

Republican
Donald J. Trump 76.22%
Ted Cruz 10.12%
John R. Kasich 9.85%
Ben Carson 3.81%

Democrat
Hillary Clinton 53.63%
Bernie Sanders 46.37%

Voter turnout so far is 28.37%, with an estimated 96,200 ballots on hand that need to be counted.
Here is a schedule per county when the next updates will take place http://results.vote.wa.gov/results/current/Turnout.html

28.37% turnout is pretty awful.

Compare it to turnout in Oregon.

http://oregonvotes.gov/results/2016P/index.html

You really can't make that comparison. The Republican race in OR was contested when some of the ballots were mailed. The Democrat contest mattered.

In WA, the Republican race is over and the Democrats just have a meaningless beauty contest.