The Official Absentee & Early Voting Reports Thread

[Cliffy]

Question: Regarding Ohio party ID. If you voted D in 08 and DID NOT vote in 2010 primary, are you considered Independent or Dem.

Dem, goes back to the last way you voted.  So yeah there will be crossover coming around this time

[Cliffy]

VA EARLY VOTE: Telling that the two extremes here are Buchanan (103.3%), a Kerry/McCain coal zone, & Portsmouth (33.8%), Af-Am city.



Glorious news!

GOP has made up 8% on the Dems vs 08 from what I saw overall as of today.

[Cliffy]

So my best friend lives in Charlotte he was saying he heard today on the radio that Dem campaigners were pulling out of NC...... anyone else hear anything.  It is pretty much gone.

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[Cliffy]

Cuyahoga county was down another 800 votes today vs 08 or 11% down vs same day 08.

Down 16% overall vs 08 at same time.


http://boe.cuyahogacounty.us/pdf_boe/en-US/2012/2008_2012InHouseVotingDailyComparison.pdf

[Cliffy]

In house early voting.

and on GMUs site Cuyahoga is down 10% overall early vote vs 08 at this point.

Cuyahoga county was down another 800 votes today vs 08 or 11% down vs same day 08.

Down 16% overall vs 08 at same time.


http://boe.cuyahogacounty.us/pdf_boe/en-US/2012/2008_2012InHouseVotingDailyComparison.pdf

Yeah, that's what happens when you take away early voting during the weekend for nakedly partisan reasons. It's a disgrace.

What does weekend early voting have to do with depressed turnout during the week? If Obama's voters were motivated, they'd be voting MORE not LESS in Obamaphone country during the week to compensate.

Um, they are? After twenty-three days of early voting, there 36,578 votes (according to that PDF at least... I'm pretty sure there are a lot more than that). After twenty-three days of early voting in 2008 there were 16,991 votes (again, according to that PDF... there were actually a lot more than that). According to the GMU site, there have been 196,844 votes in Cuyahoga last time it was updated, so again I have no idea what that PDF means.

[Cliffy]

Nevada early voting results - updated 11/03/2012

Votes cast: 701845 - 56%
D: 307877
R: 259913
I: 134055

Advantage D+47964

Early voting ended yesterday.

Less than 50 K, but I'd still give the advantage to Obama. 

Better than I expected, however what's the number Obama was up last time on EV?  I figured it will be within 2, may get lucky but Nevada is the one place Republicans may be cannibalizing their early vote.

[Cliffy]

Not in Cuyahoga for in house early voting, lol.  They lost another 1000 compared to the same day in 08. 

http://boe.cuyahogacounty.us/pdf_boe/en-US/2012/2008_2012InHouseVotingDailyComparison.pdf

GMU site shows overall Cuyahoga down 9% and Franklin down 16% since 08..

You guys know Hamilton is going GOP right, so don't get excited that it's going to hit it's 08 numbers or exceed

[Cliffy]

If true, the wave is coming I will say I've been in Chicago a lot the last month and I've been telling you guys I have seen virtually zero visible support for Obama.

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http://weeklystandard.com/blogs/massive-decrease-early-and-absentee-voting-chicago_660299.html

[Cliffy]

Pardon me, I don't have Franklin counties link, I only have Cuyahoga and GMU so I'm not trying to be a hack.  If you've got it post it.  Cuyahoga isn't up today it's down.  Mccain counties are up big through EVing.  Maybe Franklin is up, it's going to be too little. 

[Cliffy]

Down 90k vs 08

Jamie Dupree ‏@jamiedupree
Final early vote tally in Miami-Dade County, Florida - 235,733; in 2008, the early vote there was 325,903

[Cliffy]

Didn't imply that at all, I've even stated before no way Romney wins IL.  Just noting support down massively.

If true, the wave is coming I will say I've been in Chicago a lot the last month and I've been telling you guys I have seen virtually zero visible support for Obama.

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http://weeklystandard.com/blogs/massive-decrease-early-and-absentee-voting-chicago_660299.html

Why would people in Chicago visibly support Obama? Sure that's where he's from, but there's no reason for there to be visible Obama support in a state Obama is going to win with about 20%.

Are you seriously implying Romney has a chance in Illinois because there aren't huge banners with "OBAMA!" on them?

[Cliffy]

FYI,

the #s I ran earlier are correct on the overall down. I ran your #s vs the 08 #s and they came out the same.  Evidently GMU has his % of 2008 vote # updated correctly (if you calculate based on the 12' EV # he shows it's lower than the % he actually has listed)


Cuyahoga is down 9% and Franklin is down 16% vs 08.

[Cliffy]

Believe Bush was down 7% in 04 EV and lost independents.  It would appear Romney will win independents, feel real good about this one.

IA 2008 final:

Party 
Dem 46.9%
Rep 28.9%
No/Oth 24.2%

IA Today:

Dem 42.3%
Rep 32.1%
None/Oth 25.6%

I think D's might have dropped 0.1 points.

There was speculation about a massive D surge at the end, but, so far, there have been slight gains or holds by the R's.

It does not include satellite sites, from what I can tell.