OH-2 Special Election Coverage and Prediction thread... (user search)
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  OH-2 Special Election Coverage and Prediction thread... (search mode)
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Author Topic: OH-2 Special Election Coverage and Prediction thread...  (Read 29106 times)
Democratic Hawk
LucysBeau
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Posts: 14,703
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Political Matrix
E: -2.58, S: 2.43

« on: August 03, 2005, 05:51:23 AM »

It's always disappointing when the better candidate, Hackett, loses out but, in the grand scheme of things, I think it's not bad news for Democrats considering the mountain Hackett had to climb

No one could deny that OH-2 is a solid Republican district which usually produces formidable GOP majorities. For Hackett to transform a 44% GOP majority (2004; it was 72-28) to a 4% GOP majority is quite an achievement

Hackett was a good candidate and I don't think it will be the last we see of him. Come 2006, lets see Democrats pull out all the stops in Ohio (and elsewhere) by selecting candidates who have the potential to win GOP districts or, at least, be competitive and give them a run for their money but since it all boils down to the big 'M', they need to be selective in which districts they target their resources. No seat should go uncontested (in the interests of democracy, if nothing else) - you contest them but you spend only the bare minimum that's absolutely necessary to contest them

Democrats have no reason to be downbeat about the result (however, frustrating that a tantalisingly close result can be).  Hackett did well, but sadly, on this occasion not quite well enough to win - he might not have scaled the peak of the mountain but he got a good 90% Smiley of the way up

So, keep fighting the good fight because with the right candidates you're going to get there

Dave
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Democratic Hawk
LucysBeau
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*****
Posts: 14,703
United Kingdom


Political Matrix
E: -2.58, S: 2.43

« Reply #1 on: August 03, 2005, 09:12:37 AM »

Last night was the closest Hackett is ever going to get to being a US Congressman. He certainly won't so much as sniff the Senate.

He's a nobody. All the stars were aligned and the best he could do was lose by less than previous Democrats. Great. You know a party is in trouble when they venerate their 'best loser.'

I think Hackett did well. Granted he didn't win - but I think reducing the GOP majority from 44% to 4% and that is not bad going in what seems to be an overwhelmingly GOP district. In other words, he lost by one hell of a lot less, though you wouldn't think it from your tone. Schmidt ought to have won by a bigger margin than that

You can scorn as much as you want but I don't think Democrats have any reason to be downbeat, as much as you'd like them to be

Dave
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Democratic Hawk
LucysBeau
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*****
Posts: 14,703
United Kingdom


Political Matrix
E: -2.58, S: 2.43

« Reply #2 on: August 03, 2005, 09:54:12 AM »

Nothing like sitting back and watching AuH2O turn a 4% victory into a 40% victory. Smiley

Exactly, when a GOP majority plummets from 44% (72-28) to 4% (52-48) in a solid GOP seat, it's them - not the Democrats - who ought to be concerned. That said unless Hackett were to run against Schmidt again, I dare say it will return to safe GOP status but I'd like to think it has become a genuinely competitive district (there aren't enough of them)

Dave
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Democratic Hawk
LucysBeau
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 14,703
United Kingdom


Political Matrix
E: -2.58, S: 2.43

« Reply #3 on: August 04, 2005, 05:59:52 AM »

Last night was the closest Hackett is ever going to get to being a US Congressman. He certainly won't so much as sniff the Senate.

He's a nobody. All the stars were aligned and the best he could do was lose by less than previous Democrats. Great. You know a party is in trouble when they venerate their 'best loser.'

I think Hackett did well. Granted he didn't win - but I think reducing the GOP majority from 44% to 4% and that is not bad going in what seems to be an overwhelmingly GOP district. In other words, he lost by one hell of a lot less, though you wouldn't think it from your tone. Schmidt ought to have won by a bigger margin than that

You can scorn as much as you want but I don't think Democrats have any reason to be downbeat, as much as you'd like them to be

Dave
3.2% actually.

Even better than 4%, then Wink

Dave
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