I actually give Romney a BETTER chance than Obama at this point, maybe 55%. Obama is only human and the economy is not improving fast enough, and the disappointing March Jobs Report was just another example of that. Obama can no longer blame the mess we're in on Bush. He's been in for nearly 3 1/2 years and he has to start taking responsibility for the mess and owning up to the mess.
What mess would that be? Deficits? Debt? Its Bush 43 policies that continue to drive those - given that most of the increase under Obama seem to be the consequence of the 'Great Recession' rather than the necessary response (ARRA) to it - and perhaps had the Reactionary Party not made gains in the 2010 mid-terms, the economic recovery may well have been more robust with unemployment trending more, heavily, downwards, while sunset on the unaffordable Bush tax cuts, even if only on the wealthiest, may well have reigned in the deficit
It remains to be seen if U1 will be lower come November but if it is then on that measure Obama will easily have bested George W, under whom it rose, from 4.2% to 5.4%, during his first-term - and if conservatives can credit Bush 43 for getting the US out of what they called the 'Clinton-Gore Recession' I can surely, similarly, credit Obama
Romney stands for nothing beyond his own advancement and enrichment (perhaps that's why his favorables suck?)
As to whether this election is over? No because much could happen for better
![Smiley](https://talkelections.org/FORUM/Smileys/classic/smiley.gif)
or worse
![Sad](https://talkelections.org/FORUM/Smileys/classic/sad.gif)