AZ-PPP (D): Flake getting crushed by Generic Democrat

[Fuzzy Bear Loves Christian Missionaries]

I see Flake's polling in the primary isn't great shakes, either.

Flake's a fairly impressive person, but he's made lots of mistakes with the base:

1.  He conspicuously refused to endorse Trump.

2.  He never let up in his criticism of Trump.

3.  He suggested that the GOP Senate take a second look at Merrick Garland to avoid a Hillary-selected SCOTUS appointee.

4.  He voted against Obamacare repeal.

For Flake to win the primary, he'd have to run as "the adult" in a Ben Sasse mode, and have the support of folks like Sasse, plus the support of folks like McCain and Kasich.  If he can survive the primary, he can prevail in the election; he'll be seen as a reasonable Republican by Democrats and Independents, and Republicans will come home to vote for him because they don't want to lose the Senate. 

I also think Heller will hang on, for many of the same reasons I see Flake prevailing.