Colorado is a state which has been polling very well for the Repubicans over the course of this political season. I don't fully understand that, inasmuch as Colorado has a significant and growing Hispanic population, and it's independent voters are culturally liberal more often than not. It's one of the states that appears to have a degree of "buyer's remorse" over voting for Obama, although it's not quilte clear to me why that is so.
Hillary CAN win without Pennsylvania if current trends continue. The white vote is NOT trending Republican equally across the board. The Scot-Irish white vote (minimal ethnic identification, long-term family rootedness in America, background very much in "Border States", Upper South, and areas of the Northeast and Midwest that had Southern sympathies during the Civil War) have provided the HEAVIEST swing toward the GOP; other white voters, not so much. Indeed, it's pretty clear that white voters in New England, on a Presidential level, have turned toward the Democrats at least somewhat. New Hampshire is the MOST Republican New England state, and a state that functions as a tax haven, and even New Hampshire is AT LEAST a "lean Democrat) state.
What WILL continue is the movement of Hispanics into the Democratic Party, and white Hispanics, especially. This includes the growing Hispanic population in Arizona, and the Cuban population in Florida, the latter of which being a traditional partisan Republican (but not rigidly conservative) constituency. Had Trump not "gone there" on immigration, he'd probably have been immensely popular with Florida Cubans, who have been gradually shifting toward the Democrats. Instead, Florida's Cubans may prove decisive in keeping Florida Democratic at the Presidential level. Trump COULD mend these fences, but I'm not sure he will do so.
The only scenario is losing Ohio and Pennsylvania while winning Florida. Highly improbable.
This is MUCH more probable than in the past.
