Is Hillary really in trouble? (user search)
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  Is Hillary really in trouble? (search mode)
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Poll
Question: ...
#1
Yes
 
#2
No, Sanders supporters are just being babies
 
#3
No, Trump is getting a temporary bounce
 
#4
No, she just hasn't pivoted yet
 
#5
No (other)
 
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Total Voters: 140

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Author Topic: Is Hillary really in trouble?  (Read 3428 times)
Fuzzy Bear
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« on: May 21, 2016, 09:40:05 AM »

We still have six months to go until November.  There will be twists and turns throughout, but the electoral fundamentals favor Hillary. 

The built-in Democratic advantage of 242 electoral votes shows no sign of cracking.  Sorry Repubs, you're not going to win Pennsylvania or Wisconsin.  This leaves Hillary to focus on 28 electoral votes on states that are entirely winnable.  In other words, follow the Obama map.


The highlighted portion of the quote is what the GOP has to do to really threaten Hillary.  I don't see the GOP winning WI or MI, but PA is not out of the question because of the large swath of PA that is more like Appalachia than WI or MI.  Trump has really appealed to folks in Appalachia, and Obama has deeply offended them.  Appalachia is coal country, and the Democrats have gone too far down the road of "clean energy" to walk back the Obama record on coal.
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Fuzzy Bear
Atlas Star
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Posts: 26,010
United States


WWW
« Reply #1 on: May 24, 2016, 10:47:48 AM »

Biden is such a competent politician that he dropped out in 1988 due to plagiarism, couldn't crack 1% in 2008 and dropped out after raising about $20, and didn't run this time because he knew Hillary would clean his clock, which he outright admitted.

If not for plagiarism charge, Biden would almost certainly make a very strong candidate. I can't see how his 2008 performance is relevant. Whether he could or could not win this time, as incumbent Vice President he would be in much stronger position. He'd probably be the only viable "establishment" option other than Hillary and, frankly, you and other Hillary supporters should be grateful to him, for he made it much easier (not only by not running, but also by waiting for the very last moment to declare he's out).

Amy Kloubachar
Sherrod Brown
Mark Warner
Tim Kaine
Evan Bayh
Jeff Merkley
Ron Wyden
Debbie Stabenow
Ed Rendell
Steve Beshear
Jack Reed
Sheldon Whitehouse

The Democrats don't have a lack of talent.  Is there no one in this list that wouldn't be a better candidate than Hillary Clinton?
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