Four years ago, Rick Perry led the pack during late summer, Herman Cain surged in the early fall, Newt Gingrich was surging by November/December, and then Mitt Romney took the lead and the momentum.
I expect Carson to surge, then maybe Fiorina, then Governor Bush once we get closer to the Iowa Caucus. Whoever wins Iowa will surge, then the New Hampshire winner, then whoever the front-runner will become will surge. Chances are, that's either Bush, Rubio, or Kasich. Scott Walker is running such a terrible campaign that he has ended any chance he had at this, he shouldn't have made stupid statements like the one about the Canadian border, he should have run as an authentic candidate who is unapologetic in his beliefs, he's a total flip-flop now. Huckabee conceded defeat when he announced he would visit Kim Davis in jail. Rand Paul could surprise us.
I very much believe that the Trump surge is in no small measure fueled by the majority of Republicans being fed up with the Bushes and not wanting another Bush on the ticket to ruin the brand. They've lived through two (2) separate Bush Presidencies, and in terms of politics, neither ended well.
I also think that some of the GOP has the good sense to want to stick the Democrats with the "dynasty" issue. All else aside, Americans, to some extent, look askance at "dynasties", and Hillary's campaign is an attempt at that. The idea of Hillary vs. Jeb is doubly repulsive to a number of voters in BOTH parties. I believe that Jeb Bush leaving the race would, in fact, be an event that would take some of the air out of Trump's balloon.
How about it, dudeabides? Is your Jebby man enough to take one for the team and drop out in order to stop Trump?