Long Island - Siena - Trump +3 (user search)
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  Long Island - Siena - Trump +3 (search mode)
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Author Topic: Long Island - Siena - Trump +3  (Read 992 times)
dspNY
Sr. Member
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Posts: 3,139
United States


« on: May 24, 2024, 03:11:15 PM »
Since Long Island has swung harder right than the rest of NY state, I can make a couple of inferences.

1. NY is not a 9 point race, more like 15. Still a significant shift right but nowhere near competitive.
2. Trump won LI by half a point while losing the NPV by 2 in 2016. COVID hurt Trump a lot here in 2020. LI is generally 3-4 points right of the country as a whole so the NPV is probably tied or 1 point in either direction.
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