ABC News/Washington Post National Poll: Clinton+4

[dspNY]

Some more stats:

H2H: Clinton 50, Trump 46
Clinton favorables: 40/57
Trump favorables: 35/63
Clinton won the debate 45/32
Trump's comment about jailing Clinton: 40/57 disapprove
Clinton's qualifications: 59/40
Clinton's honesty: 34/62
Clinton's temperament: 59/40
Clinton's moral character: 45/52
Trump's qualifications: 39/58
Trump's honesty: 34/64 (now slightly worse than Clinton)
Trump's temperament: 34/64
Trump's moral character: 30/66
Trump represents Republican values: 35/57
Economy: 47/46 Trump
Terrorism: 48/46 Clinton
Immigration: 48/47 Clinton
International crisis: 55/39 Clinton
Ethics in gov't: 45/37 Clinton
Looks out for middle class: 51/37 Clinton
Women's rights: 69/22 Clinton
Trump tape: 1/35/63 (more likely/less likely/no difference in Trump vote)
Trump's apology: 38/57, it is insincere
Trump's comments: 40/52 abnormal comments about women
Trump's sexual depravity: 68/14 in making unwanted sexual advances
Hillary's behavior towards Bill's accusers: 34/62, not a legitimate campaign issue
Trump's sexual conduct: 55/42, a legitimate issue
Bill's sexual conduct: 30/67, not a legitimate issue
Congressman/woman supporting Trump: 17/37/43 (more likely to support/less likely/makes no diff.)

[dspNY]

This poll has some very odd crosstabs.

Yeah, like Clinton leads 51-38 among college-educated whites, while Trump leads 62-31 among non-college-educated whites. I would think that would be a much larger lead than 4 points.

Me too...college-educated whites vote at far higher levels. Each group makes up about 35-36% of the electorate. You would get a lead of Trump +10 with all white voters which make up 72% of the electorate. If Trump only wins white voters by 10 he's losing by far more than 4. Romney won white voters by 20 and lost by 3.9%

[dspNY]

Plus, Trump will lose nonwhite voters by a worse margin than Romney...his vote share would look something like this if he wins whites by 10, assuming the minor parties get 6% of the vote

Whites: Trump 52, Clinton 42 (72%)
African-Americans: Clinton 86, Trump 8 (12%)
Hispanics: Clinton 70, Trump 24 (11%)
Other: Clinton 65, Trump 29 (5%)

Using those percentages, Clinton would win by 10