New poll hype thread

[dspNY]

NBC will release full Florida and Pennsylvania polls at 9 AM Eastern time, presumably on Meet the Press

https://twitter.com/mmurraypolitics/status/785076317746139136

Before anyone gets too exited- it's WAY too early to gauge the public response.

Mark Murray said the polls were completed before Friday so there is no impact of the hot mic tape in these numbers

Ah, well at least they'll be a good baseline

If they conducted any interviews on Thursday and Friday in FL, I'm not sure how accurate it will be due to Matthew's impact on the state

Anyway, I'll guess the following:

PA: Clinton +10, McGinty +1
FL: Clinton +5, Rubio +5

[dspNY]

2 of the first 3 private polls we've done that were conducted Friday-Saturday have Trump in the 70s of the Republican vote

https://twitter.com/ppppolls/status/785179324873895939

[dspNY]

2 of the first 3 private polls we've done that were conducted Friday-Saturday have Trump in the 70s of the Republican vote

https://twitter.com/ppppolls/status/785179324873895939

Lines up with only 74% of them wanting to retain him.

Also remember that PPP's polling showed very little movement when other polls were very erratic, so this is a big-time shift

[dspNY]

Chris Hays is saying on twitter that you're gonna want to check this out.  I say Clinton +7

Chris Hayes is a Democratic/liberal talking head so I think it is Clinton by double digits

[dspNY]

Chris Hays is saying on twitter that you're gonna want to check this out.  I say Clinton +7

Chris Hayes is a Democratic/liberal talking head so I think it is Clinton by double digits

Yeah, it's either going to be a massive Clinton lead, then, or a surprisingly decent result for Trump.  Probably either something like Clinton +3 or +14.

Right on the money

[dspNY]

https://twitter.com/aaronfitt/status/785648239588573184

Seems like CNN is polling North Carolina? I heard they're also polling Ohio too.

This article from CNN might be a tease about Clinton leading in whatever swing states they polled

http://www.cnn.com/2016/10/11/politics/donald-trump-republican-establishment/index.html

[dspNY]

missouri dropping today

https://twitter.com/Nate_Cohn/status/786198933684879360

He's teasing that it is a shock poll so it'll be a Clinton lead of some kind, with Kander ahead for the Senate seat

[dspNY]

PPP is launching a new Florida poll tonight, so expect results early next week

https://twitter.com/ppppolls/status/786204007534514177

The next hour or two is going to be fun with Monmouth dropping a MO poll and Marquette dropping another WI poll

[dspNY]

Monmouth will have an Indiana poll coming out today

https://twitter.com/MonmouthPoll/status/786929796538392576

[dspNY]

PPP teases that they have a Florida poll coming within the next hour.

I'll guess Clinton +3 and Little Marco +4.

They say 7 to 8 on Dem happiness scale so it'll be Clinton by 5

[dspNY]

So a lot coming up Sunday and Monday

YouGov national
CBS/YouGov states (NV, UT)
NBC/SurveyMonkey national
NBC/WSJ/Marist national (Monday)
Monmouth national (Monday)

CNN has also been long overdue so maybe we hear from them soon

[dspNY]

FOX will show Clinton +2 or something close because they have to build excitement for the final debate they are hosting and if trump is way behind, their ratings suffer

[dspNY]

Monmouth has a Wisconsin poll coming out today (President and Senate)

https://twitter.com/MonmouthPoll/status/788745374542336003

[dspNY]

Quinnipiac National poll coming at 3 PM Eastern.

This one's going to be interesting. I think Q goes contrarian and gives us a Clinton +3 or +4

[dspNY]

PPP says they've done 94 (private) polls in the past week, and the overall Dem happiness rating is 7-8.  https://twitter.com/ppppolls/status/789589481934446592

94? Is that the # of people because I'm discombobulated.

Idk how big of an operation PPP is running that they're able to run 94 polls in a week, but many of those are most likely State Rep/State Senate/Other smaller office type races.

You're most likely right, and I'd have to guess that at least 2/3 of them are in NC, so my interpretation of it is that it could be a cryptic tweet that PPP has Clinton +3 or +4 in NC. They'll definitely release one or two more NC polls to confirm

[dspNY]

NYT/Siena/Upshot NC: Clinton +4, Cooper +6, Tie (senate)

[dspNY]

New Hampshire: Clinton +8
Nevada: Clinton +6

[dspNY]

The University of Texas and the Texas Tribune are releasing a Texas poll at midnight Central time (1 AM in the East)

https://mobile.twitter.com/TexasTribune/status/791363561436041216

[dspNY]

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Get hyped!

possibly a tie in Texas?

[dspNY]

Here's another tweet from the Texas Tribune teasing the poll, with Rick Perry on Dancing With the Stars

https://twitter.com/amanbatheja/status/791468937137442816

Something like this Texas poll situation is the reason why a poll hype thread exists

[dspNY]

CBS/YouGov will have battleground polls from PA, CO, NC and AZ tomorrow on Face the Nation

[dspNY]

I'll guess Clinton +5 and Feingold +6 for their final poll. They usually realize how the state tilts in their last poll and will adjust accordingly

[dspNY]

https://twitter.com/Lawrence/status/793627690096009216

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Guessing Clinton +5, no less than C+4

Lawrence O'Donnell even gave a Dem happiness scale number like PPP: 9

[dspNY]

I'm going to adjust my prediction on Wisconsin. Think it will be a bad poll for Clinton.

Monmouth-PA, I'm thinking Clinton +5

[dspNY]

Not in stone but possible state polls this weekend:

Selzer/DMR: Iowa
Ohio poll
Columbus Dispatch poll (OH)
A final PPP poll of NC