NBC/WSJ/Marist: Clinton up in CO, FL, NC, VA

[dspNY]

[dspNY]

Dems will win NC before OH this cycle. NC has a much higher number of African-Americans plus a higher % of college-educated whites

[dspNY]

NC/FL do seem a bit too friendly for Clinton. I'll await some of the folks who took the Q numbers as gospel and mocked red avatars for not believing them to unskew this poll/call it junk.

I agree, I have legitimately no idea how this is going but doesn't this firm have a small D bias of .5% which is .2 less than Q?

The Q sample of Florida was straight out of 1980 with 80% white...NBC also conducts English and Spanish language live interviews. Makes a big difference in FL and CO polls.

I completely agree with you in Florida and its sample, it was biased towards Trump, but this poll is a little to big of a margin for Hillary if she is leading by less than 4 points or even tied in some polls.

Not really, with 3rd party options she is +5. I gather that's where her campaign thinks it is after the state field director went on a twitter rant to counter-act the Q poll results.

I doubt Florida is +5 in a Clinton +5 race. Obama beat Romney there by 1 point in a D+4 race nationally. Will Hillary actually outperform Obama by 3 points?

Florida could have an even PVI in 2016 due to a rapidly growing Puerto Rican population plus Jewish senior citizens who used to live in NY and love Hillary. She's a much better fit for the state than Obama