I think it's worth noting that the BC Conservatives have been getting double-digit support in polling years out from the election in the last few cycles, but that support evaporates as voting time rolls around due to a severe lack of party infrastructure (the party only ran 10 candidates in 2017 and received only 0.5% of the popular vote). The last time they won a seat was in the 70s. People who select the Conservatives in polls right now are most likely people who will end up voting for the Liberals during the actual elections.
Very true, I'd be surprised if the BCCP broke 5%. But the same used to be the case for the Greens till last election. Even then, they were polling low 20s and ended up mid-teens, so many "polled-Greens" voted someone else or not at all. Likely that number would dip some at the election as well
Have the BC Conservatives gotten some party machinery up and running since the last election, or will they be a fringe party struggling to get a half slate together?
