Which 3rd party is most likely to win a state in the next 50 years?

[Spanish Moss]

I think, considering the Democrats continue to move rightward, it will be a liberal party - but not the Greens, since their view in the public eye is relatively sealed.  It will be a new party propped up around someone either with a lot of money, or with a lot of name power - and I don't see it happening until the Democrats get much worse than they already are.

[Spanish Moss]

Other.  It'll be a party that rises up that election.

Yeah, while winner-take-all always ultimately results in two party domination, I highly doubt those two parties will always be the Democrats and Republicans, and at some point one of them will go the way of the Whigs.

[Spanish Moss]

Constitution party could win in Alabama/Mississippi/Oklahoma if republicans nominate Huntsman and he picks a democrat as his running mate in 2016 .

Oklahoma has the worst ballot access laws in the country for third parties. I think McCain and Obama were the only ones on the ballot there in 2008.

I think this year the only difference is Gary Johnson is as well.  Here in New York, there's like 7 or so, I believe.  Even the Party for Socialism and Liberation got on the ballot here, and their candidate is in her 20s.

[Spanish Moss]

Constitution party could win in Alabama/Mississippi/Oklahoma if republicans nominate Huntsman and he picks a democrat as his running mate in 2016 .

Oklahoma has the worst ballot access laws in the country for third parties. I think McCain and Obama were the only ones on the ballot there in 2008.

I think this year the only difference is Gary Johnson is as well.  Here in New York, there's like 7 or so, I believe.  Even the Party for Socialism and Liberation got on the ballot here, and their candidate is in her 20s.

I think the Oklahoma authorities booted Johnson off the AE line in Oklahoma.

I'm just wondering how long it'll be before the vast majority of states become like Oklahoma.  Because honestly, I see it going in that direction.

[Spanish Moss]

I recently found out Vermin Supreme is starting the "Free Pony Party," so I'll hedge my bet there. :-D

[Spanish Moss]

Constitution party could win in Alabama/Mississippi/Oklahoma if republicans nominate Huntsman and he picks a democrat as his running mate in 2016 .

Oklahoma has the worst ballot access laws in the country for third parties. I think McCain and Obama were the only ones on the ballot there in 2008.

Meaning what?  Overwhelmingly Republican?  We can only hope so.  Johnson could be on the Oklahoma ballot, and Romney would still get 65% of the vote.  3rd parties are an epic waste of time in that state.

I think this year the only difference is Gary Johnson is as well.  Here in New York, there's like 7 or so, I believe.  Even the Party for Socialism and Liberation got on the ballot here, and their candidate is in her 20s.

I think the Oklahoma authorities booted Johnson off the AE line in Oklahoma.

I'm just wondering how long it'll be before the vast majority of states become like Oklahoma.  Because honestly, I see it going in that direction.

Meaning what?  Overwhelmingly Republican?  We can only hope so.  Johnson could be on the Oklahoma ballot, and Romney would still get 65% of the vote.  3rd parties are an epic waste of time in that state.

Meaning virtually impossible for anyone other than the two mainstream candidates to get on the ballot.