Fun Fact - Rasmussen was one of the most accurate
pollsters in 2016, their final poll showed Clinton Beating
Trump by 1.7% in the popular vote, actual result was 2.1%
This is silly. Everybody points to the last poll conducted by a polling company and compares it to the final result to judge their accuracy. But this assumes that all pollsters are created equal, and are well-intentioned. I don't think anyone on this forum believes that. We have several polling firms with partisan leanings and they are well known. So what's stopping a partisan pollster from releasing sh**t polls throughout the cycle, only to correct at the end because they know that is what they are judged on? I believe this happens. As a result, I just ignore polls with partisan learnings and place an emphasis on polls with good methodology that are highly-rated by 538. I would also ignore polls with wild swings.
