FL is garbage, the others look right.
It's pretty silly to divide these polls into "look right" and "garbage" just based on what you want the result to be, or even what you think the results should be. If you know a firm got a bad sample (from examining the internals) or you know they use a bad methodology, you can indict polls as "garbage", but not just based on the topline numbers.
Oh, sorry, I didn't know that was part of the rules.
*rolls eyes*
The FL result doesn't mesh with the vast majority of polling done. To me, it's trash. Maybe I'll be wrong tomorrow night -- I suspect not.