🇩🇪 German state & local elections

[Diouf]

Could have been a great option for FDP to do a "Busch Thor", who gained quickly after the last Swedish election (although later derailed by another abortion controversy) by being the first mainstream party, who stopped calling all voters for the right-wing party for nazis and racists and opening for cooperation with them. In the very best case, even an option for them to reach VVD/Venstre status in Germany (if CDU stayed on the Merkel course). However, FDP obviously also has a big share of MPs and elites members who are left-leaning on migration, so it was probably impossible for Lindner to make this move without too many internal problems, even though it seems a big possibility.

[Diouf]

ARD prognosis had Greens as the biggest party in Berlin on 23.5%, ahead of SPD on 21.5%

[Diouf]

Now seems like a SPD victory in Berlin. ARDs hochrechnung has them on 22.7% and Grüne on 21.4%. The two parties only on 64 seats out of 130 seats, so Linke could be necessary again.

[Diouf]

Both SPD and Grüne has fallen throughout the night in the Berlin prognosis. SPD is still clearly ahead of Grüne, but now they are down to 21.8% and 19.4%. That only gives them 60 out of 130 seats so a third partner is certainly needed for those two parties to reach a majority. One of the beneficiaries has been CDU, whom ARD now predict as actually gaining slightly to 18.2%. AfD also loses somewhat less, only down to 7.9%.