538 model & poll tracker thread

[Angel of Death]

With a little under a day and half to go until polls begin to close in Kentucky and Indiana, Trump has, for the first time this election, reached the single digits. His chances in the model sit at 9.

He's about where Romney was at this point.

I'd focus on Biden's percentage instead, because Trump would likely be reelected in case of a 269-269 tie.

[Angel of Death]

With a little under a day and half to go until polls begin to close in Kentucky and Indiana, Trump has, for the first time this election, reached the single digits. His chances in the model sit at 9.

He's about where Romney was at this point.

I'd focus on Biden's percentage instead, because Trump would likely be reelected in case of a 269-269 tie.

I mean probability

So do I. If you look at https://electionforecastjs.web.app/ you can see the percentages don't add up to 100%.