Election simulation (user search)
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Author Topic: Election simulation  (Read 4289 times)
Angel of Death
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Posts: 2,415
« on: October 31, 2004, 09:08:49 AM »
Since you're running a Monte Carlo simulation, couldn't you include all the states to account for the odd surprise?
Perhaps someone can calculate the chances more systematic based on a combination of state polls.
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Angel of Death
Sr. Member
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Posts: 2,415
« Reply #1 on: October 31, 2004, 09:17:20 AM »
Don't make the classic mistake of equating the expected share of the vote with the chance of winning a plurality of votes. Pennsylvania is much more likely to go to Kerry than 52%. BTW, where is Nebraska (and its districts)?
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