UPDATED - Chicago Tribune Polls of Ohio, Wisconsin, Iowa and Minnesoat (user search)
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  UPDATED - Chicago Tribune Polls of Ohio, Wisconsin, Iowa and Minnesoat (search mode)
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Author Topic: UPDATED - Chicago Tribune Polls of Ohio, Wisconsin, Iowa and Minnesoat  (Read 3450 times)
Hegemon
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Posts: 85


« on: October 13, 2004, 12:37:09 PM »

FWIW, since I wanted to know the Chicago Tribune's record in polling, I was given a link to this site that detailed it.

http://www.ourcampaigns.com/cgi-bin/r.cgi/PollingFirmDetail.html?&PollingFirmID=65

They have done 34 races and have averaged overstating the D support level by +4.6364 and have understated the R support level by -5.6526 (and overstated the L support level by +2.9702).

Seems to me that their record is not that great, imo.

Actually, a firm called Market Shares Corp. did the Chicago Tribune polls, and according to the website that you linked to, Market Shares has a +1.5316 D, -0.0601 R bias -- very close to Mason-Dixon's accuracy (+1.1260 D, -0.0119 R).  The data on that site looks stale, however ...
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Hegemon
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Posts: 85


« Reply #1 on: October 13, 2004, 04:03:30 PM »



I do not see where it says who actually did these polls.. do you have a link please ?

It's in the fine print at the bottom of this graphic:

http://images.chicagotribune.com/media/graphic/2004-10/14637900.jpg
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