The Political Tracker - 4th At-Large Senate Poll

[Lumine]

Yes, another poll, I'm trying to make one of these every seven or eight days to get a more accurate result by comparing a good number of them. Cynic is now a Senator, Spiral was elected but won't be running for reelection, Wrath is likely to be banned (he could have been a likely candidate), Griffin won't be running for reelection and GAworth and Mechaman have been added just for fun. Three days!

[Lumine]

Results:

Senator LumineVonReuental (i) (Fed) - 17.5%
Northeast Representative Deus (DR) - 17.5%
Former President Polnut (TPP) - 17.5%
Senator Dr. Cynic (i) (Lab) - 15%
Mideast Assemblyman JCL (Fed) - 12.5%
Senator Alfred F. Jones (i) (Lab) - 7.5%
Former Legislator Mechaman (Bad Party) - 5%
Former SoIA Gaworth (P.E.A.C.E) - 5%
Former Senator Clarence (Fed) - 2.5%

Total Voters: 40.

After yet another change of seats in the Senate we will have three incumbents running for reelection, and the scenario looks good for at least two of them. It seems this poll might be the most accurate considering the recent ones and the low amount of votes for Labor, which is now corrected to give Cynic a decisive advantage against his fellow party member Alfred, who continues to struggle to gain over 10%. Deus and Lumine are still strong and consolidated among their targeted voters, and Polnut continues to gain votes in each poll (which might suggest a victory for him if he manages to maximize his appeal in the center and with independents). With Clarence failing to enter the forum for the past weeks there are growing concerns about his campaign, and JCL has enjoyed a surge in support in the polls. Overall, it seems Deus, Cynic and Lumine are almost assured to win a seat, and the other two will now be fought between Alfred, JCL and Polnut. GAworth and Mechaman are polling stronger than their actual results in the Special Election, but with TPP having a centrist candidate and the non-Labor far left almost dead, it's hard to see them reaching 10% with the current numbers. Nine candidates, five seats and it seems we will have a competitive race until the end.