Quebec General Election 2012 (4th September)

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The Gaspé one was PQ 57 CAQ 13 PLQ 20
http://www.segmarecherche.ca/Sondages/Rapport_GI2708_2012-08-29.pdf

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Terrebonne polls done last week. Again, I think they were released by the PQ candidate. Margin of error is 4,9%.

Repère had PQ 45 CAQ 35 PLQ 9 (24% didn't know or didn't want to answer)
Crop had PQ 49 CAQ 34 PLQ 10 (17% didn't know or didn't want to answer)
 
http://www.larevue.qc.ca/actualites_selon-crop-mathieu-traversy-aurait-une-avance-15-sur-gaetan-barrette-n24239.php


The Journal de Montréal made maps based on the predictions of Too close to call website.
http://www.journaldemontreal.com/2012/09/01/attention--predictions

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Forum in the National Post has a new poll out.
PQ 36% PLQ 29% CAQ 25% QS 6%

http://nationalpostnews.files.wordpress.com/2012/09/quebec-elections-poll-forum-research-20120903.pdf

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Voter turnout is up. (it has to be said last time was historic low) At 15:00, 40% of people had voted. The champions are Jean-Talon (Quebec City) and Montarville (south shore suburb Montreal) at 52%.

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There is map with all ridings, you roll over the riding for the result you want to see.
http://www.ledevoir.com/quebec-2012-resultats

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Another map from the official Quebec election website.
http://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/fr/carte_interactive.asp

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In Eastern townships and south of quebec city, the Liberal vote seems to be holding so far.

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there is not a big difference between first and second in number of seats. I guess it's true the PLQ starts an election with 40 seats.

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How close were the Liberals from forming gov't? (i.e. what were the 2 closest BQ wins over the Liberals)

If 2 seats changed hands from BQ to Lib, the result would a 52-52 tie.

The PQ won Abitibi-Est by 777 votes over PLQ.

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Sam Hamad and Lise Thériault not running in leadership race. It looks like Couillard and Moreau are the most serious candidates, with maybe Bachand.

I would like a race that shows if there are different ideologies in the party, positions on health care for example. I want more than a popularity contest from a party that has a contested leadership for the first time in 30 years.