Current Intrade Figures for Democrats in the seante
Current probability of democrats winning the senate race in november. Whats going on in Arizona? Why so high. I dont see any polling firms have this down as a tossup. Plus Indiana and Nevada better chances than Montana, north dakora and wisconsin?
Actually, except for Rasmussen, every pollster has it as either toss-up or Flake +2 or so.
http://polltracker.talkingpointsmemo.com/contests/az-senator-12With Rasmussen polls averaged in Flake has a 5 point lead, but without them, they're both tied at 38 each.
