2017: NJ Gubernatorial/legislative elections

[Oldiesfreak1854]

I think that Tom Kean Jr. could make it close.

If Trump becomes POTUS, Guadagno may very well be the incumbent in this race, as Christie may very well get a job in Trump's cabinet (AG?).  I'd say a Dem wins either way, considering Christie's unpopularity and NJ's blueness.

Having an unpopular lame duck isn't a guarantee that his/her party will lose.  See Oregon 2010, Washington 2012, etc.  And federal =/= statewide, either.

[Oldiesfreak1854]

Hope Kean runs.  Guadogno is DOA, given her ties to Christie.  But Kean is moderate enough that he could definitely win it, and he has less Christie baggage.

[Oldiesfreak1854]

Hope Kean runs.  Guadogno is DOA, given her ties to Christie.  But Kean is moderate enough that he could definitely win it, and he has less Christie baggage.

The GOP is going to lose this race because Christie's beyond unpopular, and Kean, much like every other Republican in the state, isn't well-known enough to be seen as distinct from Christie.

Maybe so, but Kean is moderate enough to win over suburbanites.  Don't write the GOP off yet.