Republican MI/MS/ID/HI election results thread (first results @8pm ET) (user search)
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  Republican MI/MS/ID/HI election results thread (first results @8pm ET) (search mode)
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Author Topic: Republican MI/MS/ID/HI election results thread (first results @8pm ET)  (Read 37918 times)
Oldiesfreak1854
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« on: March 08, 2016, 05:56:03 PM »

I just got back from voting a few minutes ago.
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Oldiesfreak1854
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« Reply #1 on: March 08, 2016, 07:15:32 PM »

Hmm, 6% Democrat? Probably more for Kasich than Trump.

And good news for Trump with those Independent numbers.
Don't count on it.  They may be voting Trump to get a weaker GE candidate.
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Oldiesfreak1854
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« Reply #2 on: March 08, 2016, 08:06:07 PM »

So what % of the vote will be in from MI before the rest of the state closes?
I'd predict about 10-20%.
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Oldiesfreak1854
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« Reply #3 on: March 08, 2016, 08:06:30 PM »

Looks like it will be Trump +9 in MS if the EP is right.
And that's a big if.
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Oldiesfreak1854
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« Reply #4 on: March 08, 2016, 08:12:57 PM »

Kasich has the early lead in Oakland County, as I expected.
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Oldiesfreak1854
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« Reply #5 on: March 08, 2016, 08:14:33 PM »

If there are already some returns from both Oakland and Wayne Counties, then why is the CNN statewide numbers only showing the Oakland County returns?

And I'm a little surprised that Metro Detroit appears to be coming in first.
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Oldiesfreak1854
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« Reply #6 on: March 08, 2016, 08:21:03 PM »

Kasich is getting slaughtered in the rural areas. Hard to see him winning.

Yeah, this is starting to look like another Massachusetts.  Trump is now ahead in Oakland as well.  Also, the Wayne precincts that have reported so far went for Sanders, so they could be highly unrepresentative.
Kasich is leading in Oakland County.
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Oldiesfreak1854
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« Reply #7 on: March 08, 2016, 08:23:27 PM »

ROFL at John King saying there are a lot of Reagan Democrats in Oakland County.  Oakland County is wealthy, socially liberal, and suburban--one of the richest counties in the country.
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Oldiesfreak1854
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« Reply #8 on: March 08, 2016, 08:38:20 PM »

We need to see more results in from Wayne County to make any calls.

That is Detroit... Trump will dominate there. He is already ahead by 20% in the few hundred reported there.
It's less than 1%, so it means nothing.

This thing is over. Trump is almost 20,000 votes in the lead with 13% reporting.

Look at Macomb and St. Clair. Trump is over 50% right now. Trump is also winning Livingston by a wide margin too.
13% is not much.  Macomb and Wayne Counties are only single digits in.
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Oldiesfreak1854
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« Reply #9 on: March 08, 2016, 08:49:58 PM »

Wayne and Macomb Counties coming in very slow--single digits in from both.
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Oldiesfreak1854
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« Reply #10 on: March 08, 2016, 08:52:32 PM »

Ottawa County (11% in):

Cruz  47%
Kasich 20%
Trump 19%
Rubio 10%

Well, that was no surprise.

Big new batch of votes continuing to look like an obvious Trump call in 10 minutes.  Trump has now expanded Oakland to a 3% lead with 60% counted.  Whoever runs the elections office in Oakland County deserves a blue ribbon.
Wayne and Macomb counties have less than 10% of their vote in.
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Oldiesfreak1854
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« Reply #11 on: March 08, 2016, 08:57:03 PM »

Ottawa County (11% in):

Cruz  47%
Kasich 20%
Trump 19%
Rubio 10%

Well, that was no surprise.

Big new batch of votes continuing to look like an obvious Trump call in 10 minutes.  Trump has now expanded Oakland to a 3% lead with 60% counted.  Whoever runs the elections office in Oakland County deserves a blue ribbon.
Wayne and Macomb counties have less than 10% of their vote in.

So what, dude?  Do you think there's any chance that Wayne County will be remarkably more favorable to Kasich than Oakland, let alone Macomb being better than Oakland?  You're like an inch away from arguing "there more votes to count!"  Yes, there are.  And those votes are obviously going to have a lot more Trump votes than anyone else's...that's the point.

Come back in 25 minutes and tell me how Wayne and Macomb County go for you.
Ottawa County (11% in):

Cruz  47%
Kasich 20%
Trump 19%
Rubio 10%

Well, that was no surprise.

Big new batch of votes continuing to look like an obvious Trump call in 10 minutes.  Trump has now expanded Oakland to a 3% lead with 60% counted.  Whoever runs the elections office in Oakland County deserves a blue ribbon.
Wayne and Macomb counties have less than 10% of their vote in.

So what, dude?  Do you think there's any chance that Wayne County will be remarkably more favorable to Kasich than Oakland, let alone Macomb being better than Oakland?  You're like an inch away from arguing "there more votes to count!"  Yes, there are.  And those votes are obviously going to have a lot more Trump votes than anyone else's...that's the point.

Come back in 25 minutes and tell me how Wayne and Macomb County go for you.
I like to hedge my bets.  Wayne County is more liberal than either Oakland or Macomb.  If Trump is still leading when they come in, then he will probably win.
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Oldiesfreak1854
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« Reply #12 on: March 08, 2016, 09:04:06 PM »

Dude, it hasn't been called yet.  Detroit, Flint, Grand Rapids, and Macomb County have yet to report for the most part.
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Oldiesfreak1854
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« Reply #13 on: March 08, 2016, 09:05:06 PM »

Dude, it hasn't been called yet.  Detroit, Flint, Grand Rapids, and Macomb County have yet to report for the most part.

MSNBC called it.
With so much outstanding vote in the big population centers?  Give me a break.
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Oldiesfreak1854
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« Reply #14 on: March 08, 2016, 09:06:22 PM »

Dude, it hasn't been called yet.  Detroit, Flint, Grand Rapids, and Macomb County have yet to report for the most part.

MSNBC called it.
With so much outstanding vote in the big population centers?  Give me a break.

Which stage of grief is this? Still denial?
Apparently CNN is in denial, then.
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Oldiesfreak1854
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« Reply #15 on: March 08, 2016, 09:13:59 PM »

Kasich takes the lead in Wayne County.
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