Is NH still a swing state? (user search)
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  Is NH still a swing state? (search mode)
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Author Topic: Is NH still a swing state?  (Read 3573 times)
Oldiesfreak1854
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« on: February 26, 2016, 08:25:03 AM »
« edited: February 26, 2016, 08:27:09 AM by Oldiesfreak1854 »

Yes; it was close in 2012, and Romney even led the polls there early on.  Bush only lost it by a few thousand votes in 2004, and much of that was probably a favorite son effect of Kerry being from Massachusetts.  Plus, it has somewhat of a libertarian streak and a very strong anti-tax sentiment, which could help the GOP under the right circumstances.  It takes far more than three elections to say that a state is red or blue.

the GOP appears to be the favorite to win the governorship in 2016.
Says who?  It will be close, no matter which party wins.
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Oldiesfreak1854
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« Reply #1 on: February 26, 2016, 08:25:39 AM »

TNvolunteer, how about you actually give us some proof as to why you think that New Hampshire is a Democratic state?

It doesn't vote for Republicans anymore. Next question?

I'll have to tell Kelly Ayotte that next time I see her.
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Oldiesfreak1854
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« Reply #2 on: February 27, 2016, 08:53:55 PM »

TNvolunteer, how about you actually give us some proof as to why you think that New Hampshire is a Democratic state?
It doesn't vote for Republicans anymore. Next question?
That's...that's stupid.

Ohio, Virginia, Florida, Iowa, New Mexico, Colorado, and Nevada haven't voted Republican in eight years. Are they solid Democratic states too?

Pennsylvania and Michigan haven't voted Republican since 1988. Wisconsin hasn't since 1984. Minnesota hasn't voted Republican since 1972. Are they all solidly Democratic?
According to this forum, they are.  What the news media does is that it simply looks at which party carries the state, and then passes judgment on whether it is "red" or "blue."  They don't look at the actual margins.  Michigan, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin may not have voted for a GOP presidential candidate since the 80s, but they've been close since then.  And yes, the wider Dem margins usually come when they win the presidency (Clinton and Obama).  I contend that Bush actually would've carried Wisconsin in 2000 if it weren't for the early Gore call in Florida depressing Republican turnout in the remaining states, but I digress. 
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