If a Democrat wins the presidency in 2016 (which I suspect is more likely than not), then she may fall victim to a GOP sweep. But even if she doesn't, it's quite possible that she may still lose, at least with a strong candidate. There are a slew of Republicans who could make it close, including Land, Upton, Walberg, Miller, Bishop, or Rogers.
Calling it now. She loses.
You heard it here first.
So you think there will be 3 Republican waves in a row?
It really depends on whether a Democrat wins in 2016. Even if they won't, by sheer numbers, Democrats have nowhere to go but down in 2018.
That's true, but didn't you say you thought Republicans were favored to win the presidency in 2016? I could be mistaking you for someone else.
I do think they're favored, but it's ridiculous to pretend this seat isn't vulnerable. The main reason Stabenow won by such a large margin in 2012, besides it being a great Democratic year, was the total implosion of her opponent. Assuming she faces someone like Snyder or one of the congressmen, she's going to be in a serious fight.
I think she'd beat Snyder, since he's so unpopular (although less so than before). But since he was popular enough to win reelection, it's possible that he could beat her.
