Ehhh, I think if Texas actually flips, it's gone like Virginia, not a protracted fight like Arizona or Nevada. Houston having the votes to squash any Dem campaign seen as too anti-oil if it wanted to does make the situation a bit more complicated, but at the end of the day, either I-35 outvotes rural Texas or it doesn't.
Also, I'm way more open to the idea of 7-10% Republican wins becoming normal in Florida than most people here, but a 2:1 Republican blowout like Texas in 2004?!
Could happen in FL if Palm Beach becomes even and Rs continue to make gains in Dade, Broward.
Jews seem to have the same respect for incumbency as do Hispanics and Asians. Biden also underperformed in heavily Jewish Broward county as well. The lowered margin wasn't just a Miami thing. The 2020 R swing could be a fluke.
