2017 French Presidential Election

[Maxwell]

Jeremy Jamm in Councilman Dexhart's body

[Maxwell]

they should probably stop publishing Fillon v. Le Pen polls then.

[Maxwell]

Poll Harris Interactive

Macron: 24%
Le Pen: 22%
Fillon: 20%
Mélenchon: 19%
Hamon: 8%

Second round:
Macron 67% - Le Pen 33%
Mélenchon 64% - Le Pen 36%
Fillon 58% - Le Pen 42%

Another quite bad poll for Le Pen.

Damn, that is terrifying for Panzergirl

It seems like, since the election of THE DONALD, far right parties are losing momentum.

[Maxwell]

Similarly the polls in the US has Clinton winning by 3% and she won the popular vote by 2%.

And France has no Electoral College, to boot.

Sure, California helped the national polls save face. But France doesn't have any California's. The whole place is one giant Midwest. So it's more akin to Brexit. The far right always under polls in Europe. Le Pen will win for sure.

tell that to Geert Wilders.

[Maxwell]

The most hilarious potential run-off would be Melenchon and Fillon, and I'm beginning to suspect that is the outcome. I really can't predict - but Macron's numbers have been slightly more steady than Le Pen, who seems to be draining support to Melenchon and to Fillon.