Your completely subjective odds for the Democratic nomination in 2020

[Maxwell]

Booker - 25%
Harris - 20%
Sanders - 15%
Warren - 10%
Biden - 10%
Kanye - 5%
Franken - 3%
Gillibrand - 2%
Brown - 2%
Field - 8%
Gabbard - 0%
De Blasio - 0%
Cuomo - 0%
Villarigosa - 0%
Edwards - 0%

Just by the odds, I think Booker is the most likely nominee, with Harris and Sanders not too far behind. Biden's early eagerness puts him higher than I would've normal put him, on par with Warren. I'm not going to under-estimate Kanye West, so I put him at 5%, ahead of Franken (bless his heart, one of my favorites), Gillibrand (meh, but her kind of candidacy does have precedent for winning the nomination), and Brown (not likely to run, but if he did he would be a formidable candidate).

Never gonna be the nominee - Gabbard has too many skeletons in her closet and would basically cede refugee and foreign policy to Donald Trump, De Blasio is too dumb, Cuomo is way to right-wing in the bad kind of a way locally and overall (also corrupt), Villarigosa is even dumber than De Blasio, and Edwards is way too right-wing in a mildly acceptable way if we're talking about Louisiana politics but completely unacceptable when it comes to national politics.

[Maxwell]

"Donald Trump hates Black People"

[Maxwell]

"Donald Trump hates Black People"

Cuomo is a classical liberal centrist. The party better get with the program. Cuomo isn't Zell Miller for God's sake. Cuomo is the nominee, he likely beats Trump. He is an Italian. He's feisty. Trump will meet his match. Period.

are all italians feisty you god damn racist

Cuomo isn't a centrist, he's a whatever will keep him in power - taking lefty stands to keep the base placated, in the background making sure that Republicans control the State Senate so that nothing ever actually gets done.  He's kind of just an asshole.

[Maxwell]

Castro probably needs a real job before running for President.