What percentage of the popular vote will Gary Johnson get? (user search)
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  What percentage of the popular vote will Gary Johnson get? (search mode)
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Poll
Question: What percentage of the popular vote will Gary Johnson get?
#1
<1%
 
#2
1%
 
#3
2%
 
#4
3%
 
#5
4%
 
#6
5%
 
#7
6%
 
#8
7%
 
#9
8%
 
#10
9%
 
#11
10%
 
#12
>10%
 
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Partisan results

Total Voters: 44

Author Topic: What percentage of the popular vote will Gary Johnson get?  (Read 394 times)
Maxwell
mah519
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 28,459
Germany


Political Matrix
E: -6.45, S: -6.96

« on: July 28, 2016, 07:23:05 PM »

2-2.5%, maximum.
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Maxwell
mah519
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 28,459
Germany


Political Matrix
E: -6.45, S: -6.96

« Reply #1 on: July 28, 2016, 07:31:17 PM »

I'm fairly confident he can get 2%, but an optimistic 3% is very realistic. His poll numbers have been consistent and steady, he already has twice the name recognition that he did in 2012, its very hard to see 80% of his support just going away.

it did in 2012.
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Maxwell
mah519
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 28,459
Germany


Political Matrix
E: -6.45, S: -6.96

« Reply #2 on: July 28, 2016, 07:59:02 PM »

I'm fairly confident he can get 2%, but an optimistic 3% is very realistic. His poll numbers have been consistent and steady, he already has twice the name recognition that he did in 2012, its very hard to see 80% of his support just going away.

it did in 2012.

Can you point me to a poll where he was at 10% or more in 2012?

How about 6%?

Bob Barr hit 5% in the polls and managed 0.4% of the vote, so it's really inconsistent.
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