Clinton/Trump: Your battleground (user search)
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  Clinton/Trump: Your battleground (search mode)
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Author Topic: Clinton/Trump: Your battleground  (Read 1661 times)
Maxwell
mah519
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 28,459
Germany


Political Matrix
E: -6.45, S: -6.96
« on: May 05, 2016, 01:35:53 PM »

Didn't Trump get third the Minnesota primary? I'd sooner put Michigan as Lean R than Minnesota as a Toss-up.
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Maxwell
mah519
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 28,459
Germany


Political Matrix
E: -6.45, S: -6.96
« Reply #1 on: May 05, 2016, 03:05:13 PM »
Not sure why people are putting Mississippi on the map - that state seems to have a pretty low ceiling for Dems.
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Maxwell
mah519
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 28,459
Germany


Political Matrix
E: -6.45, S: -6.96
« Reply #2 on: May 05, 2016, 03:18:05 PM »


30% - is Toss-up/Tilt
50% - is Lean/Likely
70% is completely Safe

I think Pennsylvania is a little closer than everyone thinks. At the same time, I think Colorado, Nevada, Wisconsin, and Virginia are almost completely out of reach for Trump, while Florida is damn close. Trump is also in danger of losing Arizona, Georgia, and Nebraska's 2nd.

It's a tough map to overcome, but it's also a tough map to get a landslide with, barring major hispanic turnout in Texas and a complete routing in Utah.
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