IA-Bloomberg/DMR/Selzer: Cruz 25% Trump 22% Rubio 12% Carson 11% Paul 5% Bush 4% (user search)
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  IA-Bloomberg/DMR/Selzer: Cruz 25% Trump 22% Rubio 12% Carson 11% Paul 5% Bush 4% (search mode)
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Author Topic: IA-Bloomberg/DMR/Selzer: Cruz 25% Trump 22% Rubio 12% Carson 11% Paul 5% Bush 4%  (Read 3948 times)
Maxwell
mah519
Atlas Star
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Posts: 28,459
Germany


Political Matrix
E: -6.45, S: -6.96

« on: January 13, 2016, 11:12:34 AM »

I'm trying to remember what the last Selzer poll looked like, but I'm pretty sure it was 31 Cruz-21 Trump. Cruz is losing steam, but from the looks of it, it may be the natural drain of momentum rather than this whole birther issue.
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Maxwell
mah519
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 28,459
Germany


Political Matrix
E: -6.45, S: -6.96

« Reply #1 on: January 13, 2016, 05:59:37 PM »

Are they overpolled old Romney supporters? and underpolled former Paul supporters?  I cut out the ones that didn't attended the caucus.

I don't trust voters to accurately recall who they voted for last time.  Especially in a case like this, when you're talking about a caucus, and some people may have been confused and thought they were being asked who they supported in the general election.


If they are Paul supporters, I would be surprised if they forgot.
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