Predict Margin (%) for LA-Governor

[Maxwell]

I'll go ahead and say...

Edwards - 56%
Vitter - 44%

A little less than those 20 point polls, but all numbers and debates suggest that Vitter is getting eviscerated, and Republicans are not standing by him. Turnout is way up, Dardenne endorsed Edwards, Vitter has raised little money. I can't believe it, but I think Vitter is completely toast.

I'll go and guess the other races too, even though I know a lot less about them other than poll numbers.

Lieutnant Governor

53% Nungesser
47% Holden

Attorney General (surprise of the night

51% Landry
49% Caldwell

[Maxwell]

And because Conway was worse. With Bevin, at least there was something sort of... human about him. Conway was literally Politicianbot.

but yeah, Edwards is gonna smoke Vitter because Edwards is boss.

[Maxwell]

I would be surprised if Edwards did not have coattails, especially if more minorities turn out, that would sweep the LG's race too, no?

If the most generous polls are right and Edwards wins by more than 20, then I think he could drag Holden across the finishing line.

I suspect, however, Edwards will only win by low double digits, and as a result, Nungesser only gets a scare.

[Maxwell]

I'm going to go ahead and hedge my bets a bit on the Governors race -

Edwards - 53%
Vitter - 47%