A Mason-Dixon poll on this race (and others throughout the South) would clear the air nicely....
After their final definitive poll of Florida in 2012... that showed Romney +6... I'm not that comfortable having too much faith in them.
So it missed Florida -it made a mistake. Can you name a polling company that doesn't? But compared to some I have seen here, Mason-Dixon is still among the top pollsters in the country.
Obama +3 in Minnesota; ended up being +8.
Obama +2 in Wisconsin; ended up being +7.
Obama +7 in Connecticut; ended up being +17.
MD used to be good. Now they're just so-so.
And how about senatorial races?
Pretty terrible:
(2012)
FL D+6; reality was D+13
MT R+4; reality was D+4
ND R+2; reality was D+1
MO D+2; reality was D+16
WI D+2; reality was D+6
To be fair, North Dakota was within margin of error, and even PPP got Missouri wrong by a ridicolous amount (I think they also had McCaskill up by only 2). Wisconsin was fairly close too. Montana and Florida, however, are pretty inexcusable.
