Lumine's Election and Political Tracker (Epilogue) - Tracker Closed

[Maxwell]

Don't be terrible, Maxwell.

What do you mean by that? In spite of these polls, I think it would be highly unlikely for me to win.

[Maxwell]

My dear friend and glorious Atlasia legend Matt nearly won the Presidency against Nix, and he had about as much experience, maybe even a little bit less, as Riley does right now. Not saying that I support Riley, I back Sirnick til the end of time, but let's see what happens.

The question here is who he would pick for VP, the bench is dried. That being said, Riley/Yankee would be a potentially potent ticket, depending on how the campaign goes.

[Maxwell]

I don't think it's a flip flop on my part at all. I would've rejected the whole bill if it had that section, and that's position I've held since the beginning.

[Maxwell]

I appreciate I even got any votes at the Labor convention, though Yanks and I are both Former/Current Federalist Party Chairmen

[Maxwell]

I don't think JBrase changed parties. According to the census bureau he is already registered as D-R, so likely only state change.

Yep, because IDS has districts.

[Maxwell]

DemPGH holds a hefty lead at the moment (I have it at 62-38), but some races are looking interesting (Flo leading massively in the Pacific, RR1997 ahead by a good amount in the Midwest).

[Maxwell]

I will only say this once and never again - I find it interesting that the Federalist Party, who voted in such away that almost knocked off their incumbent President because of his lack of fight for Federalist causes, when faced with the option of two candidates who, both are qualified, but one clearly had a better record on those causes, chose the more liberal option. Not all of them, but a very large chunk of them.

Although 16% of Federalists voting for Hagrid/Tmth, imaginary ticket, can't be a good sign for enthusiasm either way.

[Maxwell]

And, then again, I endorsed TNF for stupid reasons, so I'm just a big ole' hypocrite

[Maxwell]

I will only say this once and never again - I find it interesting that the Federalist Party, who voted in such away that almost knocked off their incumbent President because of his lack of fight for Federalist causes, when faced with the option of two candidates who, both are qualified, but one clearly had a better record on those causes, chose the more liberal option. Not all of them, but a very large chunk of them.

Although 16% of Federalists voting for Hagrid/Tmth, imaginary ticket, can't be a good sign for enthusiasm either way.

Here's (one thing) that I found interesting: even though DemPGH currently has 44% of the Federalist Party's support, he would still be ahead in this race by several votes if all of them had voted for Sirnick. A rather odd dynamic. While it could ultimately change, as of now, it'd appear that the Federalists themselves aren't deciding this election (not that I don't appreciate their votes for DemPGH).

DemPGH has a very broad coalition of voters it seems.

[Maxwell]

I think my chairmanship did a lot of damage to the Fed party, to be honest. I focused too much on Senate and Presidential races and not enough on building a Federalist base of rising stars who could eventually be Senators or President.

[Maxwell]

Yanks just got vote #7 in Supersonic, and he seems to have more of a base left than I do (Duke, PiT, some other random Feds), so I think Yanks will clean my clock by the end, though by less than at least his fight with Seatown.

[Maxwell]

When I look at the Midwest I see a couple of things - for one, the regions pretty inelastic. However, that could just be TNF - any leftist closer to the center (and with less 'stylistic flair') probably would win a walk. Either way, I think RR1997's showing is impressive.

[Maxwell]

When I look at the Midwest I see a couple of things - for one, the regions pretty inelastic. However, that could just be TNF - any leftist closer to the center (and with less 'stylistic flair') probably would win a walk. Either way, I think RR1997's showing is impressive.

RR1997 was TNF's weakest opponent yet. He was never in any real danger.

True enough, but in terms of pure numbers, RR1997 did better than Rooney did (or I,  but I wasn't running a real campaign for Senate then ), though that may be the growth of the region in favor of the right since then.

[Maxwell]

As of IndyTX,


Presidential Ballot
DemPGH/Windy - 53%
Sirnick/Dallas - 43%
WI: Hagrid/Tmth - 4%

The Presidential race is not the blow out the some doomsayers have said, but it looks like DemPGH's early advantage has only moved a little bit, and has mostly held on in spite of a late Sirnick surge. Still, DemPGH has held a strong coalition of leftists and a large chunk of the center right, so it maybe a shock at this point if Sirnick pulls it out, but we'll see.

Mideast Senate Call
Senator DC Al Fine - 55%
Fmr. ME Assemblyman Madman Motley - 24%
Fmr. Att. Gen. Benconstine - 17%
WI: Workingman Mechaman - 3%

DC Al Fine will retain his seat in the Senate, in a somewhat interesting but not very surprising election. He held most of the Federalist vote (though some notable libertarian and libertarian-ite thinkers abandoned him), and even picked up some of the left wing vote. He will no doubt return to the Senate. FEDERALIST HOLD

Other races looking interesting, and we will update those results now -

Pacific Senate Race      
Councilor Flo* - 47%
SOEA Superique - 26%
Senator Tyrion - 21%
WI: Wolverine22 - 5%

*Flo is a member of the Labor Party, but is unaffiliated due to a lack of the Parties endorsement.

Northeast Senate Race   
Senator Bore - 52%
Speaker Deus - 48%

IDS Senate Race
Senator N.C. Yankee - 53%
IDS Legislator Maxwell - 41%
Abstain - 6%

Midwest Senate Race      
Senator TNF - 57%
Citizen RR1997 - 39%
WI:Most Serene Rep. Adam Fitzgerald - 4%

[Maxwell]

When I look at the Midwest I see a couple of things - for one, the regions pretty inelastic. However, that could just be TNF - any leftist closer to the center (and with less 'stylistic flair') probably would win a walk. Either way, I think RR1997's showing is impressive.

RR1997 was TNF's weakest opponent yet. He was never in any real danger.

True enough, but in terms of pure numbers, RR1997 did better than Rooney did (or I,  but I wasn't running a real campaign for Senate then ), though that may be the growth of the region in favor of the right since then.

It has been inching in that direction for some time. Though I must say it would be a few inches closer if certain folks hadn't moved.

The Pacific needs attention too, xD

True enough.

I mean, I might be the most conservative Senate candidate in the Pacific since Sbane, if you consider PJ, Superique, and Flo to my left.

Superique is certainly to your right.

[Maxwell]

As of DemPGH's vote

Pacific Senate (2nd Round)
Councilor Flo (Un-AK)* - 47%
Senator Tyrion (Lab-CA) - 26%
SOEA Superique (TPP-NV) - 26%

Superique would be eliminated at this moment.

Pacific Senate (3rd Round)

Actual
Councilor Flo (Un-AK)* - 53%
Senator Tyrion (Lab-CA) - 47%

Hypothetical
Councilor Flo (Un-AK)* - 67%
SoEA Superique (TPP-NV) - 33%

[Maxwell]

I'll let someone else call the IDS for Yankee... the votes aren't there for a win by yours truly.

[Maxwell]

I think Seatown lost 60-32, which was Yankee's last closest since I think his second re-election.

Guess my next goal is, when it comes up, IDS Speaker.

[Maxwell]

If the next hour offers no big surprises (this is including votes up to bgwah), then DemPGH narrowly wins the Presidency in the first round (51-45), and the Senate control remains the same (by varying margins), with Flo offing Senator Tyrion in the third round.

[Maxwell]

If you combine all the votes in the Senate races, here's how votes for each parties candidates went -

Labor Candidates - 39% (50 Votes)
Federalist Candidates - 28% (36 Votes)
Democratic-Republican Candidates - 23% (30 Votes)
The People's Party Candidates - 8% (10 Votes)
Others - 2% (2 Votes)

Labor benefited from the right split in terms of this statistic, though its hard to say how many people would've turned out if Yankee and/or DC Al Fine ran unopposed.

[Maxwell]

By my count, the Pacific is heading to a runoff.

I think Flo has more first pref's though.

[Maxwell]

um... Could bore please run for PPT instead?