2014 U.S. Senate race projections (user search)
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  2014 U.S. Senate race projections (search mode)
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Author Topic: 2014 U.S. Senate race projections  (Read 9776 times)
Maxwell
mah519
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 28,459
Germany


Political Matrix
E: -6.45, S: -6.96

« on: February 19, 2013, 05:38:39 PM »

Alabama: Richard Shelby (R) 64% vs. Dem (D) 33%
Alaska: Mark Begich (D) 55% vs. Joe Miller (R) 43%
Arkansas: Mark Pryor (D) 47% vs. Tom Cotton (R) 51% [GOP PICKUP]
Colorado: Mark Udall (D) 53% vs. Jane Norton (R) 47%
Delaware: Chris Coons (D) 57% vs. Christine O'Donnell (R) 40%
Georgia: Paul Broun (R) 49% vs. Jason Carter (D) 50% [DEM PICKUP]
Hawaii (special): Colleen Hanabusa (D) 55% vs. Charles Djou (R) 44%
Illinois: Dick Durbin (D) 62% vs. Joe Walsh (R) 35%
Idaho: Jim Risch (R) 75% vs. Dem (D) 25%
Iowa: Bruce Braley (D) 54% vs. Steve King (R) 44%
Kansas: Pat Roberts (R) 67% vs. Nancy Boyda (D) 32%
Kentucky: Mitch McConnell (R) 52% vs. Ashley Judd (D) 48%
Louisiana: Mary Landrieu (D) 50% vs. Charles Boustany (R) 48%
Maine: Susan Collins (R) 54% vs. Mike Michaud (D) 45%
Massachusetts: Ed Markey (D) 58% vs. Charles Baker (R) 39%
Michigan: Carl Levin (D) 59% vs. Justin Amash (R) 39%
Minnesota: Al Franken (D) 56% vs. Michele Bachmann (R) 42%
Mississippi: Thad Cochran (R) 80% vs. Dem (D) 20%
Montana: Brian Schweitzer (D) 53% vs. Corey Stapleton (R) 45%
Nebraska: Jon Bruning (R) 70% vs. Steve Lathrop (D) 30%
New Hampshire: Jeanne Shaheen (D) 55% vs. John E. Sununu (R) 43%
New Jersey: Cory Booker (D) 65% vs. Tom Kean Jr. (R) 31%
New Mexico: Tom Udall (D) 54% vs. John Sanchez (R) 45%
North Carolina: Kay Hagan (D) 53% vs. Virginia Foxx (R) 44%
Oklahoma: Jim Inhofe (R) 75% vs. Dem (D) 25%
Oregon: Jeff Merkley (D) 57% vs. Rick Miller (R) 41%
Rhode Island: Jack Reed (D) 63% vs. John Robitaille (R) 34%
South Carolina: Lindsey Graham (R) 60% vs. Dem (D) 40%
South Carolina (special): Tim Scott (R) 55% vs. Dem (D) 45%
South Dakota: Tim Johnson (D) 47% vs. Mike Rounds (R) 53% [GOP PICKUP]
Tennessee: Lamar Alexander (R) 55% vs. Dem (D) 45%
Texas: John Cornyn (R) 51% vs. Julian Castro (D) 48%
Virginia: Mark Warner (D) 57% vs. Bill Bolling (R) 40%
West Virginia: Carte Goodwin (D) 34% vs. Shelley Moore Capito (R) 63% [GOP PICKUP]
Wyoming: Mike Enzi (R) vs. unopposed


NET RESULT: GOP +2

New Senate: 52 DEM, 46 GOP, 2 IND


Inhofe always wins, but he also always chronically under-performs in Oklahoma (Generic Republican running for President will get 2/3rds of the vote, but Inhofe will only get 57% or 58%). I mean, last election he got 58% to a "who's that" candidate in Andrew Rice, so I don't think he's going to do that well, particularly if the Dems decide to, for once, field a semi-decent candidate against Inhofe. Among the two Senators from Oklahoma, Inhofe is the more beatable one by a long shot, considering Coburn won his last election by over 70% of the vote and his approvals are around 80% in our state.
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Maxwell
mah519
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 28,459
Germany


Political Matrix
E: -6.45, S: -6.96

« Reply #1 on: May 14, 2013, 09:23:41 PM »

It may have been a couple of years since he's held office in Colorado or anywhere... but what about Former Governor Bill Owens? I haven't seen him polled much anywhere.
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