Huckabee/Grassley v. Obama/Biden in 2012 (user search)
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  Huckabee/Grassley v. Obama/Biden in 2012 (search mode)
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Author Topic: Huckabee/Grassley v. Obama/Biden in 2012  (Read 1299 times)
Maxwell
mah519
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 28,459
Germany


Political Matrix
E: -6.45, S: -6.96

« on: December 11, 2012, 06:09:11 AM »

Mike Huckabee does run in 2012 after all, seeing all the polls showing him in the top two, and wins Iowa by colossal margins. Mitt Romney wins in New Hampshire and it becomes a Hillary v. Obama race, Huckabee eventually pulls out with a victory. How does he do against Obama, could he win?
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Maxwell
mah519
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 28,459
Germany


Political Matrix
E: -6.45, S: -6.96

« Reply #1 on: December 11, 2012, 04:39:41 PM »

It will be tight over the summer, but his support of Akin and Mourdock will tank him. Polarization of electorate keeps the map from spilling into LBJ territory.


Obama: 379 ~53% PV
Huckabee: 159 ~ 45% PV

I admit that Akin and Mourdock is a pretty big thing to overlook, but I did overlook that. Huckabee's original charisma gets torn apart, and that's probably accurate.

However, Biden could attack Ryan because Ryan was chock full of talking points but had no experience or specifics. Grassley could've combated him more on an issues level. I think Grassley would've made it out of the debates alive.
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Maxwell
mah519
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 28,459
Germany


Political Matrix
E: -6.45, S: -6.96

« Reply #2 on: December 11, 2012, 04:53:21 PM »

It will be tight over the summer, but his support of Akin and Mourdock will tank him. Polarization of electorate keeps the map from spilling into LBJ territory.


Obama: 379 ~53% PV
Huckabee: 159 ~ 45% PV
I think if O can take AZ and MO, he can take GA too.

Huckabee has great Southern appeal, so I think he takes Georgia, probably slim though.
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